Relevance
Does this belong in an investor’s finite attention budget?
Whalebench InstitutionalResearch briefings · 2026
Prospective market judgment
Can a model tell what matters before the market does?
Whalebench freezes a public item at a known time, asks each model the same four questions, seals every answer, and scores reasoning and outcome separately after the declared horizon.
Known information cutoffFour sealed judgmentsReasoning and outcome kept apart
The protocol
Record the judgment before reality can rewrite it.
Every model sees the same frozen public item, answers the same four questions, and is sealed off from everything learned after the cutoff.
Public record captured
Novelty
What changed relative to what the market already knew?
Market map
Which issuers, assets, and factors are genuinely exposed?
Falsifiable view
What direction, horizon, and confidence follow from the evidence?
Institutional briefings
Four audiences. Four questions worth answering.
Short, editable briefings for the people choosing models, building agents, reviewing fixed-income views, and governing AI.
01Trading leadership9 slides
Which models make market judgments you can defend?
Compare what models identify, cite, and claim while the market outcome is still unknown.
02RL gym9 slides
Train on a record that cannot leak the answer.
Use frozen evidence, structured actions, and delayed outcomes for leakage-safe agent research.
03Fixed income9 slides
From source language to a view, before the curve moves.
Test whether a model can name the exposure, direction, horizon, and confidence before the move.
04Bank model governance10 slides
Approve the decision process. Not the demo.
A prospective market record that model risk, markets, and compliance can all reconstruct.
The team
Built by the people running the study.
Research, product, and market infrastructure stay in one loop.
Mark
Krishna
Ansh
The standard